Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

06 Nov 2024 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (06 Nov 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	154 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	137 km/h	0.4 m	707 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua	26,051	+
	Guatemala	5,245
	Mexico	1,257
	Honduras	6,452
	Nicaragua	13,096

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 00:00	333	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Cuyo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2024 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	06 Nov 2024 06:45	El Cuyo	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 06:45	Chipepte	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	La Union	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	Murucagua	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Capulin	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Zapote	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	El Moray	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 07:00	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 07:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 05:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 05:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 05:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:15	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:15	San Pedro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 06:45	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:00	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:30	Chisahcab	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:30	Boca Nueva	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:30	Paso Real	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:00	Rio Lagartos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 08:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:15	Chacmuchuch	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:30	Cancun	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 07:30	Puerto Juarez	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 06:45	Chiltepec	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 04:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.