Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

06 Nov 2024 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (06 Nov 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	122 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	539 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

144 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua	334,098	+
	Honduras	78,705
	Nicaragua	255,392
50-100 mm	Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua	1,489,782	+
	Guatemala	212,643
	Honduras	617,592
	Nicaragua	659,546

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	366	330 thousand			-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Cuyo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2024 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	06 Nov 2024 18:45	El Cuyo	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 18:45	Chipepte	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	La Union	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	Murucagua	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Capulin	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Zapote	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 20:15	El Moray	Honduras	0.2
	06 Nov 2024 19:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 18:30	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 18:30	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 18:45	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:15	Rio Lagartos	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 18:45	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 20:45	Estero del Espino	Honduras	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 20:45	Campamento	Honduras	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	Condega	Honduras	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	Cedeno	Honduras	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	Albania	Honduras	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:15	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:15	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:45	Chabihau	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:45	Mina de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 22:30	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	Agua	El Salvador	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 18:45	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:30	Chisahcab	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 19:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	El Tanque	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	El Puente	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.1
	06 Nov 2024 23:30	La Chacara	Nicaragua	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.