Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

07 Nov 2024 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (07 Nov 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.2 m	93 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	539 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

144 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Nicaragua	44,985
50-100 mm	Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua	2,244,325	+
	Honduras	598,891
	El Salvador	797,446
	Nicaragua	847,982
	Other countries	04

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	411	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Puerto Grande, Honduras. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2024 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	El Moray	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Barrancones	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Condega	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Cedeno	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Buena Vista	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Albania	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	El Tambor	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:30	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	La Union	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	Murucagua	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Capulin	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Zapote	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	Estero del Espino	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	Campamento	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 11:15	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 10:30	Guerrero	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:00	Agua	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:00	Canoguero	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	El Tanque	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	El Puente	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	La Chacara	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:30	La Periquera	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	El Cuyo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	Chipepte	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:15	Balneario El Espino	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 06:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 06:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 10:30	Hacienda La Chepona	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 06:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:30	Venecia	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 09:45	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.