Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FOURTEEN-E-24 Off-shore from 06 Nov 2024 15:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-E-24

Off-shore

07 Nov 2024 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-E-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (07 Nov 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.2 m	104 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	539 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

144 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	07 Nov 2024 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Honduras, Nicaragua	76,533	+
	Honduras	377
	Nicaragua	76,155
50-100 mm	Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador	2,189,510	+
	Guatemala	4,370
	Mexico	628
	Honduras	929,550
	Nicaragua	868,220
	El Salvador	386,735
	Other countries	05

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	06 Nov 2024 12:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	06 Nov 2024 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	07 Nov 2024 00:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Nov 2024 06:00	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	07 Nov 2024 12:00	408	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Capulin, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2024 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2024 12:45	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 12:45	Condega	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 12:45	Cedeno	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 12:45	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 12:45	Albania	Honduras	0.2
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 18:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 17:45	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Barrancones	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Buena Vista	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Moray	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Tambor	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	La Union	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Murucagua	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Capulin	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Zapote	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:15	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:15	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:15	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:15	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 15:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 15:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 17:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 17:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 15:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:15	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Estero del Espino	Honduras	0.1
	07 Nov 2024 12:00	Campamento	Honduras	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.