Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for KALMAEGI-25
in Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI-25 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Exposed population 470 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 144 km/h n.a. 205 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 238 km/h 1.0 m 934 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

238 km/h

Up to 470 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2025 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Vietnam7,729 
CAT. 1Vietnam458,195
+
Vietnam458,156 
Other countries39 
Tropical StormVietnam, Laos, Cambodia4,613,291
+
Vietnam4,605,155 
Laos1,265 
Other countries6,784 
Cambodia86 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Nov 2025 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Nov 2025 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Nov 2025 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Nov 2025 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Nov 2025 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Nov 2025 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Nov 2025 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Nov 2025 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Philippines, Other countries
GREEN 9 03 Nov 2025 06:00 169 3 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
RED 10 03 Nov 2025 12:00 205 410 thousand
- - Philippines, Other countries
ORANGE 11 03 Nov 2025 18:00 158 940 thousand
- - - Philippines, Other countries
RED 12 04 Nov 2025 00:00 137 1.3 million
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
ORANGE 13 04 Nov 2025 06:00 144 240 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
GREEN 14 04 Nov 2025 12:00 140 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
GREEN 15 04 Nov 2025 18:00 140 80 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
ORANGE 16 05 Nov 2025 00:00 173 70 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
GREEN 17 05 Nov 2025 06:00 205 60 thousand
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Other countries, Thailand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2025 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmThailand, Cambodia1,138
+
Thailand49 
Cambodia1,088 
100-250 mmVietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia2,933,872
+
Vietnam613,645 
Laos90,689 
Thailand179,099 
Cambodia2,050,437 
50-100 mmVietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia10,580,813
+
Vietnam2,287,738 
Laos254,666 
Thailand6,918,583 
Cambodia1,119,792 
Other countries32 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Nov 2025 06:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Nov 2025 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Nov 2025 18:00 284 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Nov 2025 00:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Nov 2025 06:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Nov 2025 12:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Nov 2025 18:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 03 Nov 2025 00:00 250 -
- - - - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 9 03 Nov 2025 06:00 263 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 10 03 Nov 2025 12:00 264 820 thousand
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 11 03 Nov 2025 18:00 348 1 million
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 12 04 Nov 2025 00:00 458 1.5 million
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 13 04 Nov 2025 06:00 358 480 thousand
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 14 04 Nov 2025 12:00 346 130 thousand
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 15 04 Nov 2025 18:00 364 310 thousand
- - - Philippines, Other countries
Blue 16 05 Nov 2025 00:00 347 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 17 05 Nov 2025 06:00 533 8.9 million
- - Vietnam, Laos, Other countries, Thailand, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2025 06:00 UTC
    

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