Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUANA-26
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUANA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (23 Jan 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 2.2 m 349 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jan 2026 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia00
+
Tropical StormAustralia9,313
+
Australia9,300 
Other countries12 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Jan 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia794 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Australia305,276
+
Indonesia302,228 
Other countries12 
Australia3,034 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island, Australia25,778,941
+
Indonesia25,754,930 
Christmas Island3,582 
Australia20,427 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 278 310 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Other countries, Christmas Island, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Mullalloo Beach, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Jan 2026 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Jan 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Fremantle Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 North Beach Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 North Fremantle Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Scarborough Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Mosman Park Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Cottesloe Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 East Fremantle Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Swanbourne Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Claremont Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Spearwood Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Bicton Australia  0.4
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Pender Australia  0.3
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Derby Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:45 Dampier Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:30 Onslow Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:45 Mardie Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Quinns Rock Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Falcon Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Safety Bay Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Mandurah Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Warnbro Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Peelhurst Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Singleton Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Karnup Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Seabird Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Guilderton Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Gregory Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Rockingham Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Heits Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Horrocks Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Broome Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Wickham Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Point Samson Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Cossack Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Binningup Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Myalup Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Burragenup Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Learmonth Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Coogee Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:00 Wattleup Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Two Rocks Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Yanchep Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Losan Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 05:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 04:15 Lancelin Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Tegal Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Condon Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Derby Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Wanasari Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:30 Karratha Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Denison Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Port Denison Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Dongara Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Djomblang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Semarang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Karangroto Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Wedung Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kedungmalang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Mangkang-Kulan Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Sidja Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:30 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:30 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kendal Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:15 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:00 Warroora Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:00 Jepara Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:00 Bugel Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:00 Karanggondang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Geraldton Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Quobba Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:15 Balubuk Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 05:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 01:45 Tamala Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 01:30 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 01:30 Bakong Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 03:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:00 Cardabia Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:00 Greenough Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 02:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:00 Jurien Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:00 Cervantes Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:45 Guring Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 04:45 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2026 06:00 Dokib Indonesia  0.1