Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LUANA-26
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUANA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (24 Jan 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 97 km/h 1.3 m 189 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 104 km/h 1.1 m 555 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

104 km/h

Up to 6 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia6,162
+
Australia6,149 
Other countries12 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 97 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
GREEN 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Australia, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia122 
100-250 mmAustralia8,247
+
Australia8,240 
Other countries07 
50-100 mmAustralia14,734 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Jan 2026 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Jan 2026 06:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Jan 2026 12:00 262 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Jan 2026 18:00 163 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 5 24 Jan 2026 00:00 131 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 6 24 Jan 2026 06:00 427 8 thousand
- - - Australia, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Jan 2026 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Jan 2026 06:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Jan 2026 13:45 Derby Australia  1.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Derby Australia  1.1
24 Jan 2026 09:00 Kollan I Australia  0.7
24 Jan 2026 06:30 Pender Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Thangoo Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2026 08:30 Broome Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Binningup Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Myalup Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Burragenup Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 08:30 Pardoo Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 07:45 Waterbank Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 07:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 10:45 Heits Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Parap Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Leanyer Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Berrimah Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2026 14:30 Thundulda Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 16:45 Eyre Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 09:00 Condon Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 04:45 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 05:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 05:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:15 The Palms Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 14:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Alyangula Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 14:30 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 05:30 Streaky Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 05:30 Haslam Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 17:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Falcon Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 09:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 09:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Thevenard Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Ceduna Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 20:15 Welab Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Venus Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:15 Port Kenny Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:00 Mandurah Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 06:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 06:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 06:30 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 19:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 19:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 19:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:00 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:00 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Birab Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Jow Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Per Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2026 09:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Tor Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 19:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Fremantle Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 North Beach Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 North Fremantle Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Scarborough Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Mosman Park Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Cottesloe Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 East Fremantle Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Swanbourne Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Claremont Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Spearwood Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 16:45 Bicton Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Agats Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Gove Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:30 Sceale Bay Australia  0.2
26 Jan 2026 04:30 Toorna Park Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Wan Indonesia  0.2
27 Jan 2026 06:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2026 06:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 11:45 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 11:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 02:30 Fowlers Bay Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Warnbro Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Singleton Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Karnup Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:30 Rockingham Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:30 Coogee Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:30 Wattleup Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:15 Onslow Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Lewokeling Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Witihama Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Boleng Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Nereng Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Lewoleba Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Riangeba Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Waipoekang Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Lewotelo Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Pasar Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Labala Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Tokodjain Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Hadakewa Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:45 Mardie Australia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Oetefoe-besar Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Besdale Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Akle Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Silain Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Oetefoe-ketjil Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Butuinan Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Hala Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Oeboeah Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Oisina Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Tablolong Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Hansisi Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Naioni Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Tenau Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Tuakdale Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Manoelairoti Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:30 Dampier Australia  0.1
27 Jan 2026 05:30 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 16:15 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 08:15 Papelawe Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Buraen Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 18:30 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
27 Jan 2026 04:15 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:30 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:30 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:30 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:30 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:30 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:30 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 06:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2026 18:45 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
26 Jan 2026 17:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1