Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-26
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (27 Jul 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.5 m 155 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 212 km/h 0.8 m 445 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico13,105
+
United States9,112 
Mexico3,993 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Jul 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Jul 2026 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jul 2026 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 4 25 Jul 2026 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Jul 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Jul 2026 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jul 2026 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Jul 2026 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Jul 2026 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Jul 2026 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jul 2026 00:00 176 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

445 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico40 
50-100 mmMexico2,880,871 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Jul 2026 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Jul 2026 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jul 2026 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 25 Jul 2026 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Jul 2026 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Jul 2026 18:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jul 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Jul 2026 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Jul 2026 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Jul 2026 18:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Jul 2026 00:00 494 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 27 Jul 2026 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Jul 2026 03:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
27 Jul 2026 03:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.5
27 Jul 2026 03:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
27 Jul 2026 02:45 La Choya Mexico  0.4
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
27 Jul 2026 04:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Molino Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
27 Jul 2026 00:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Carpinteria United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Rincon United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Shepards United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Punta United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Faria United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Dulah United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Ventura United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Oxnard United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 El Roble Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Montecito United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Summerland United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Serena Park United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Mission United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 01:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Azure Vista United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Mission Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Roseville United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Loma Portal United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 San Diego United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Coronado United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Boal United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 San Pedro United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Wilmington United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Signal Hill United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Surfside United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Seal Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 00:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 05:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Coromar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Goleta United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Alsace United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Clifton United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Malibu United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Tajiguas United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Capitan United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Naples United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 06:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Sabine United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 El Nido United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Balboa United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Sycamore United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Solromar United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 04:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Two Harbors United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Avalon United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 San Clemente United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Agra United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Gaviota United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:45 Lento United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Cedar Point United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Beach City United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Oak Island United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 00:00 Anahuac United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 North Beach United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Doyle United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Portland United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Gregory United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 05:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
27 Jul 2026 02:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 01:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
27 Jul 2026 03:30 Las Cruces United States  0.1