Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Sep 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.4 m 220 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico1,268,791 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 239 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Sep 2026 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Sep 2026 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Sep 2026 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Sep 2026 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:15 Tangair United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:15 Narlon United States  0.2
07 Sep 2026 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Wilmington United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Signal Hill United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Surfside United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Seal Beach United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Newport Beach United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 23:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:15 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 22:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 16:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 16:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 San Pedro United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 22:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 14:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 14:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 14:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 20:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:45 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Mission United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Montecito United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Summerland United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Serena Park United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Carpinteria United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Rincon United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 20:15 Surf United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Shepards United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Punta United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Faria United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Dulah United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Ventura United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Oxnard United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 22:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Cliff Haven United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Bay Shores United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Balboa United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Corona del Mar United States  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 13:30 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 15:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Erendria Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 19:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 21:45 Molino Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 21:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 14:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 14:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 21:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Roseville United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 San Diego United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Coronado United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Boal United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Woodville United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Bolinas United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Kentfield United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Larkspur United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Almonte United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Green Brae United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Marin City United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Edgemar United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 San Quentin United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Daly City United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Westborough United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Colma United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Baden United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 San Francisco United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 South San Francisco United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 North Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Tanforan United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Clifton United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Coromar United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Goleta United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Moss Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Montara United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Princeton United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 El Granada United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Pacifica United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 15:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 15:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Port San Luis United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Avila Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Oceano United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Grover City United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Callender United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 22:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Two Harbors United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Avalon United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Monterey United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Workfield United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Seaside United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Ord United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Marina United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Moss Landing United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Neponset United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Nashua United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Castroville United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Arguello United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Honda United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Sudden United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 Jalama United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 17:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Alsace United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 San Bruno United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Carmel United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 22:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Gordola United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Live Oak United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Capitola United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Soquel United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Aptos United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:00 Ellicott United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Brisbane United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Bayview District United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 North Richmond United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Richmond United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 San Pablo United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 22:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 17:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 14:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 14:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 Gallinas United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Concepcion United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:15 La Mision Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 19:45 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 14:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Naples United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 22:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 20:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 21:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 12:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Stuart United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Oceanside United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Carlsbad United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Ponto United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Leucadia United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Encinitas United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Solana Beach United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 18:45 Del Mar United States  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2026 16:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1