Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Sep 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 158 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 673 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 07 Sep 2026 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 07 Sep 2026 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 08 Sep 2026 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 08 Sep 2026 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico373,278 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2026 12:00 281 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 01 Sep 2026 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2026 12:00 221 10 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 4 02 Sep 2026 00:00 199 1 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 5 02 Sep 2026 12:00 186 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 6 03 Sep 2026 00:00 158 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 7 03 Sep 2026 12:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Sep 2026 00:00 285 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Sep 2026 12:00 539 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 05 Sep 2026 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Sep 2026 12:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 06 Sep 2026 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 06 Sep 2026 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 07 Sep 2026 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 07 Sep 2026 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 08 Sep 2026 00:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 08 Sep 2026 12:00 255 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Sep 2026 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC
    
Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2026 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 23:30 La Choya Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 23:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Montecito United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Summerland United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Serena Park United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Carpinteria United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Rincon United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Shepards United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Punta United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Faria United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Dulah United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Muir Beach United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Kentfield United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Mill Valley United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Larkspur United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Almonte United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Green Brae United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Marin City United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Strawberry United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Corte Madera United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Sunset District United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Sausalito United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Edgemar United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 San Quentin United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Broadmoor United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Stonestown United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Richmond District United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Daly City United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Westborough United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Tiburon United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Belvedere United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Colma United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Baden United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Little Osaka United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 San Francisco United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Bayshore United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 South San Francisco United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 North Beach United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Tanforan United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Brisbane United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Bayview District United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 North Richmond United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Richmond United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:45 San Pablo United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 17:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2026 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Woodville United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Bolinas United States  0.2
08 Sep 2026 19:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 22:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 22:15 El Roble Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Ventura United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Port San Luis United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Avila Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Oceano United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Grover City United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Callender United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Mission United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Erendria Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 12:00 Copala Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 12:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Balboa United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Roseville United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 San Diego United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Coronado United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Boal United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 14:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Clifton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 San Bruno United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Carmel United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Monterey United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Workfield United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Seaside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Ord United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Marina United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Moss Landing United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Neponset United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Nashua United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Castroville United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 13:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Terra Linda United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 La Majada Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Arguello United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Honda United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Tangair United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Surf United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Narlon United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 16:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Coromar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Goleta United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Las Flores United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Castellammare United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Santa Monica United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Sawtelle United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Alsace United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 El Segundo United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:00 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Sycamore United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Solromar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 13:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 13:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Agra United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Stuart United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Oceanside United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Carlsbad United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Ponto United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Leucadia United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Encinitas United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Arista Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Sudden United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:30 Jalama United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Avalon United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Moss Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Montara United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Princeton United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 El Granada United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Miramar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Martins Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Tunitas United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 San Gregorio United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Pescadero United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Hillsborough United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 San Mateo United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Hillsdale United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Naples United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Morro Bay United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Baywood Park United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Gallinas United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:15 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Malibu United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Monte Nido United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 21:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 16:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 23:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 23:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Gordola United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Live Oak United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Capitola United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Soquel United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Aptos United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Ellicott United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:00 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:15 Capitan United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 El Nido United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 17:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Sep 2026 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 22:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Dillon Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Brazil Beach United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Hamlet United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:45 Nicks Cove United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Millbrae United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 20:30 Burlingame United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Plaskett United States  0.1
08 Sep 2026 18:30 Gorde United States  0.1