Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26 in Mexico from 01 Sep 2026 09:00 UTC to 08 Sep 2026 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26

in Mexico

02 Sep 2026 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (02 Sep 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	122 km/h	0.5 m	186 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	72 km/h	0.5 m	673 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	31 Aug 2026 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	01 Sep 2026 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Sep 2026 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	02 Sep 2026 00:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	02 Sep 2026 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

673 mm

Up to 150 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	United States	146,423
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	460,989	+
	United States	413,105
	Mexico	47,884

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	31 Aug 2026 12:00	281	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	01 Sep 2026 00:00	283	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Sep 2026 12:00	221	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States
4	02 Sep 2026 00:00	199	1 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States
5	02 Sep 2026 12:00	298	150 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Sep 2026 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Sep 2026 21:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.5
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.4
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.4
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.4
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 12:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 12:00	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Arista	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 15:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 15:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.3
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 23:15	La Playa	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	La Majada	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Woodville	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Bolinas	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Stinson Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Muir Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Kentfield	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Mill Valley	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Larkspur	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Almonte	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Green Brae	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Marin City	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Strawberry	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Corte Madera	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Sunset District	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Sausalito	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Edgemar	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	San Quentin	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Broadmoor	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Paradise Cay	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Stonestown	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Richmond District	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Daly City	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Westborough	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Tiburon	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Belvedere	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Colma	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Baden	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Little Osaka	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Fort McDowell	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	San Francisco	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Bayshore	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	South San Francisco	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	North Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Tanforan	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Brisbane	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Bayview District	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	North Richmond	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Richmond	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	San Pablo	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 17:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Del Monte Forest	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Pebble Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Carmel Highlands	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Carmel-by-the-Sea	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Pacific Grove	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Carmel	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Monterey	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Del Rey Oaks	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Workfield	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Seaside	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Ord	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Marina	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Moss Landing	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Neponset	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Nashua	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Castroville	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	La Concepion	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Terra Linda	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Gallinas	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Santa Venetia	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 14:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 14:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 23:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 23:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 23:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Accent Homes Mobile Home Park	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Martins Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Tunitas	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	San Gregorio	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Pescadero	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Brazil Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Hamlet	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Nicks Cove	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Lairds Landing	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Franciscan Village	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Carpinteria	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Rincon	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Shepards	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Punta	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Faria	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Dulah	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	San Buenaventura	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Ventura	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Oxnard	United States	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:45	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 19:45	Lagarto	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Rosarito	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 16:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 17:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 17:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Shelter Cove	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Moss Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Montara	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Rockaway Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Princeton	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	El Granada	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Pacifica	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	San Bruno	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:15	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 16:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Millbrae	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Burlingame	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Hillsborough	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Miramar	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Half Moon Bay	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	San Mateo	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:15	Hillsdale	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:15	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Surfside	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:15	Newport Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:45	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:45	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Port San Luis	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Avila Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Sycamore Springs	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Pismo Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Oceano	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Grover City	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:30	Callender	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:15	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:45	Dillon Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 16:45	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 16:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:45	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Santa Cruz	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Twin Lakes	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Live Oak	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Opal Cliffs	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Capitola	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Soquel	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Aptos	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Rio del Mar	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Rob Roy Junction	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	La Selva Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:00	Ellicott	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 16:00	Ayutla	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Harmony	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Cayucos	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Morro Bay	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 22:30	Baywood Park	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 18:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:15	Montecito	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:15	Summerland	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:15	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Roseville	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	San Diego	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Coronado	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 12:30	Boal	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:15	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:15	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 14:15	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Arguello	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Honda	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Tangair	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Surf	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Narlon	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Sudden	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 13:00	Jalama	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:30	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	North Beach	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Doyle	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Portland	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Gregory	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:15	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 21:00	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:45	Sabine	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:45	Sabine Pass	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:45	Johnson's Bayou	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:45	Constance Beach	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:45	Peveto Beach	United States	0.1
	03 Sep 2026 00:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 23:00	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 19:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:30	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 15:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 17:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	02 Sep 2026 20:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.