Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
09 Sep 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 194 km/h 0.5 m 190 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 252 km/h 0.8 m 652 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

252 km/h

Up to 30 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Philippines1,948 
CAT. 1Taiwan, Philippines26,291
+
Taiwan2,362 
Philippines23,929 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam1,192,964
+
Japan62,913 
Taiwan1,007,060 
Philippines88,666 
Paracel Islands170 
Vietnam34,153 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 187 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 202 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 198 30 thousand
- - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmVietnam56,490 
500-750 mmPhilippines, Vietnam757,617
+
Philippines4,633 
Vietnam752,984 
250-500 mmTaiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar1,217,980
+
Taiwan3,013 
Philippines25,497 
Myanmar99,944 
Vietnam1,089,523 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Thailand, Myanmar, Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Laos, Cambodia13,510,366
+
Japan837,585 
Taiwan248,547 
Philippines6,417,735 
Thailand558,269 
Myanmar747,459 
Vietnam3,664,077 
Laos926,161 
Paracel Islands30 
Cambodia110,500 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan, China, Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Palau, Indonesia42,383,072
+
Japan563,034 
Taiwan342,936 
Philippines26,494,011 
China490,948 
Thailand6,901,168 
Myanmar339,841 
Vietnam5,517,076 
Laos463,627 
Paracel Islands139 
Cambodia1,269,567 
Palau95 
Indonesia623 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 164 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 118 90 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 107 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 132 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 186 130 thousand
- - - - Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 230 430 thousand
- - - - Laos, Philippines
Blue 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 216 2.2 million
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 227 8.8 million
- - - - Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 215 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 241 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos
Blue 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 202 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 167 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 874 15.5 million
- Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, China, Thailand, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Palau, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC