Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
10 Sep 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 Sep 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 212 km/h 0.6 m 206 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 252 km/h 0.8 m 652 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

252 km/h

Up to 70 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Philippines2,073 
CAT. 2Philippines17,181 
CAT. 1Japan, Taiwan51,528
+
Japan51,190 
Taiwan338 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam820,438
+
Japan336,310 
Taiwan12,416 
Philippines70,193 
Paracel Islands170 
Vietnam401,347 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 187 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 202 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 194 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 212 70 thousand
- - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPhilippines, Vietnam18,648
+
Philippines17,802 
Vietnam845 
250-500 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos2,031,382
+
Japan1,865 
Taiwan72 
Philippines1,452 
Vietnam2,026,166 
Laos1,826 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Thailand, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Paracel Islands, Cambodia9,413,757
+
Japan113,282 
Taiwan4,004 
Philippines5,011,505 
Thailand78,757 
Vietnam2,637,393 
Myanmar891,648 
Laos663,247 
Paracel Islands30 
Cambodia13,885 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan, China, Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia22,014,478
+
Japan1,285,472 
Taiwan726,350 
Philippines6,360,995 
China263,956 
Thailand6,483,790 
Vietnam3,684,527 
Myanmar311,440 
Laos1,320,111 
Cambodia1,514,562 
Malaysia62,552 
Palau95 
Indonesia623 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 164 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 118 90 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 107 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 132 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 186 130 thousand
- - - - Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 230 430 thousand
- - - - Laos, Philippines
Blue 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 216 2.2 million
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 227 8.8 million
- - - - Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 215 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 241 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos
Blue 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 202 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 167 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 190 80 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 928 11.5 million
- - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, China, Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC