Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Sep 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 17 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 252 km/h 0.8 m 652 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

252 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 187 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 202 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 194 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 18 10 Sep 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Sep 2021 12:00 194 1 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 20 10 Sep 2021 18:00 216 3 thousand
- - - Philippines, Paracel Islands
GREEN 21 11 Sep 2021 00:00 198 20 thousand
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 22 11 Sep 2021 06:00 223 6 thousand
- Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 23 11 Sep 2021 12:00 198 2 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 24 11 Sep 2021 18:00 169 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 25 12 Sep 2021 00:00 158 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan, Japan, Philippines
GREEN 26 12 Sep 2021 06:00 140 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Japan
GREEN 27 12 Sep 2021 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan
GREEN 28 12 Sep 2021 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 29 13 Sep 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmLaos, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam, Malaysia641,541
+
Vietnam332,556 
Myanmar65,817 
Laos5,950 
Thailand9,871 
Cambodia158,578 
Malaysia68,768 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines, Palau, Malaysia39,897,312
+
China4,491,768 
Japan103,568 
Taiwan2,440 
Vietnam18,647,346 
Myanmar814,392 
Laos356,089 
Thailand5,891,650 
Cambodia6,932,139 
Philippines1,974,365 
Palau1,762 
Malaysia681,788 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 164 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 118 90 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 107 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 132 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 186 130 thousand
- - - - Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 230 430 thousand
- - - - Laos, Philippines
Blue 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 216 2.2 million
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 227 8.8 million
- - - - Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 215 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 241 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos
Blue 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 202 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 167 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 190 80 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 206 40 thousand
- - - - Paracel Islands, Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 18 10 Sep 2021 06:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Sep 2021 12:00 197 140 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Myanmar, Thailand
Blue 20 10 Sep 2021 18:00 297 1 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Thailand
Blue 21 11 Sep 2021 00:00 178 830 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 22 11 Sep 2021 06:00 378 410 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 23 11 Sep 2021 12:00 230 700 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 24 11 Sep 2021 18:00 221 310 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 25 12 Sep 2021 00:00 251 7 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 26 12 Sep 2021 06:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan, Vietnam
Blue 27 12 Sep 2021 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 12 Sep 2021 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 13 Sep 2021 00:00 203 640 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines, Palau, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC