Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
06 Sep 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (06 Sep 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 304 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 0.6 m 1105 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

166 km/h

Up to 3.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines3,103,791 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVietnam, Laos, Philippines14,534,025
+
Vietnam20,063 
Laos21,250 
Philippines14,492,710 
100-250 mmChina, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia40,838,563
+
China904,001 
Myanmar134,748 
Vietnam3,225,538 
Laos1,005,642 
Thailand604,293 
Philippines34,748,028 
Paracel Islands38 
Cambodia210,197 
Malaysia6,073 
50-100 mmChina, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia77,245,069
+
China3,656,735 
Myanmar1,411,626 
Vietnam23,327,524 
Laos1,184,963 
Thailand22,373,339 
Philippines19,193,773 
Paracel Islands211 
Cambodia5,933,234 
Malaysia163,660 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 315 180 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 309 20 thousand
- - - China, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 400 55.4 million
- - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC