Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
08 Sep 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Philippines, Paracel Islands
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Sep 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.4 m 273 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 0.6 m 1105 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

166 km/h

Up to 10 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Philippines14,962 
Tropical StormPhilippines, Paracel Islands2,348,219
+
Philippines2,347,866 
Paracel Islands352 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 140 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines1,347,699 
100-250 mmChina, Philippines, Laos, Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia40,755,305
+
China1,889 
Myanmar860,438 
Vietnam361,163 
Philippines34,223,789 
Laos320,452 
Thailand4,912,297 
Paracel Islands336 
Cambodia71,657 
Malaysia3,279 
50-100 mmChina, Myanmar, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau57,457,814
+
China655,229 
Myanmar843,910 
Vietnam7,929,606 
Philippines14,908,842 
Laos1,575,297 
Thailand29,563,932 
Paracel Islands119 
Cambodia1,920,050 
Malaysia59,063 
Palau1,762 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 315 180 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 309 20 thousand
- - - China, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 304 500 thousand
- - - China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 286 820 thousand
- - - China, Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 344 1.7 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Malaysia
Blue 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 463 42.1 million
- - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC