Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ODETTE-21
Off-shore
19 Sep 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ODETTE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Canada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (20 Sep 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 1.2 m 282 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 282 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCanada62,878 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Sep 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 19 Sep 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 19 Sep 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Sep 2021 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Canada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States09 
50-100 mmCanada, United States1,855,248
+
Canada96,105 
United States1,759,143 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Sep 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 19 Sep 2021 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 19 Sep 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 Sep 2021 12:00 247 Few people
- - - - Canada, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mCanada, United States75,077
+
Canada18,108 
United States56,968 
0.25 - 0.5 mCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States852,487
+
Canada76,904 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon1,581 
United States774,001 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC