Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WANDA-21
Off-shore
30 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WANDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United Kingdom, Ireland, Isle of Man, Guernsey, France
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (30 Oct 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 1.9 m 75 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 2.2 m 407 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited Kingdom, Ireland, Isle of Man, Guernsey, France51,232
+
United Kingdom27,361 
Ireland10,986 
Isle of Man18 
Guernsey1,791 
France11,074 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2021 12:00 90 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Ireland, Isle of Man, Guernsey, France
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIreland, Portugal, Spain4,702
+
Ireland10 
Spain80 
Portugal4,610 
50-100 mmIreland, United Kingdom, Jersey, France, Spain, Portugal2,859,471
+
Ireland32,477 
United Kingdom150,696 
Jersey19 
France32,107 
Spain1,520,935 
Portugal1,123,234 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2021 12:00 247 5 thousand
- - - - Ireland, United Kingdom, Jersey, France, Spain, Portugal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC