Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CODY-22
in Fiji

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CODY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Fiji, New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (11 Jan 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.8 m 751 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.8 m 751 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 210 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormFiji, New Zealand207,989
+
Fiji207,236 
New Zealand752 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 5 09 Jan 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Fiji
GREEN 7 10 Jan 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 Jan 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 Jan 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Jan 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Jan 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Jan 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Jan 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 13 Jan 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 13 Jan 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 13 Jan 2022 12:00 108 -
- - - - - New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji2,570 
250-500 mmFiji35,210 
100-250 mmFiji555,421 
50-100 mmFiji240,597 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 18:00 258 1 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 150 2 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 06:00 231 20 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 4 09 Jan 2022 12:00 293 5 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 5 09 Jan 2022 18:00 133 2 thousand
- - - - Fiji
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 7 10 Jan 2022 06:00 116 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 8 10 Jan 2022 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jan 2022 18:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Jan 2022 00:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Jan 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Jan 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Jan 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Jan 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 13 Jan 2022 00:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 13 Jan 2022 06:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 13 Jan 2022 12:00 482 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mNew Zealand12,447 
0.25 - 0.5 mFiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand56,408
+
Fiji21,152 
New Caledonia9,661 
New Zealand25,594 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC