Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TIFFANY-22
in Australia
12 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TIFFANY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (12 Jan 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.5 m 641 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m 641 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia1,672 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Jan 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Jan 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Jan 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 11 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 12 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Jan 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPapua New Guinea, Australia39,883
+
Papua New Guinea29,559 
Australia10,324 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia589,208
+
Indonesia23,285 
Papua New Guinea384,593 
Australia181,329 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia5,517,122
+
Indonesia1,052,386 
Papua New Guinea4,042,160 
East Timor198,509 
Australia224,065 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Jan 2022 12:00 210 70 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 2 09 Jan 2022 00:00 165 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 12:00 180 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 4 10 Jan 2022 00:00 277 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 5 10 Jan 2022 12:00 120 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 6 11 Jan 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 11 Jan 2022 12:00 223 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 8 12 Jan 2022 00:00 230 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 9 12 Jan 2022 12:00 641 160 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mAustralia10 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia, Australia90,911
+
Indonesia90,427 
Australia484 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC