Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TIFFANY-22
in Australia
12 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TIFFANY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Jan 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.7 m 430 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 101 km/h 0.7 m 430 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia2,108 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Jan 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Jan 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Jan 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 4 10 Jan 2022 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 5 10 Jan 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Jan 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Jan 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 11 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 Jan 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jan 2022 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 12 12 Jan 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 13 12 Jan 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 14 12 Jan 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia920 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia917,707
+
Indonesia11,166 
Papua New Guinea883,269 
Australia23,271 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia6,619,833
+
Indonesia1,361,231 
Papua New Guinea4,106,241 
East Timor768,186 
Australia384,173 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Jan 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 2 09 Jan 2022 12:00 157 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 09 Jan 2022 18:00 187 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 4 10 Jan 2022 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Jan 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Jan 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Jan 2022 06:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Jan 2022 12:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Jan 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 12 12 Jan 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Jan 2022 06:00 98 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Blue 14 12 Jan 2022 12:00 381 40 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mAustralia00
+
0.5 - 1.0 mAustralia00
+
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia, Australia92,627
+
Indonesia90,180 
Australia2,447 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC