Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHARLOTTE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHARLOTTE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.0 m 445 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.0 m 445 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Mar 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Mar 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Mar 2022 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Mar 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Mar 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Mar 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Mar 2022 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 22 Mar 2022 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 22 Mar 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Mar 2022 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 23 Mar 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 23 Mar 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 23 Mar 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 23 Mar 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 24 Mar 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 24 Mar 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

445 mm

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia13,043 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands34,224,330
+
Indonesia34,224,286 
Cocos Islands44 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Mar 2022 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Mar 2022 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Mar 2022 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Mar 2022 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Mar 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Mar 2022 18:00 321 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Mar 2022 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Mar 2022 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 22 Mar 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Mar 2022 18:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 23 Mar 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 23 Mar 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 23 Mar 2022 12:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 23 Mar 2022 18:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 24 Mar 2022 00:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 24 Mar 2022 06:00 171 10 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Cocos Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Western Australia, Lynton, Australia. This height is estimated for 20/03/2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia, Australia6,415
+
Indonesia6,372 
Australia43 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20/03/2022 18:00 Western Australia, Lynton Australia  0.4
26/03/2022 12:00 Western Australia, Useless Loop Australia  0.3
22/03/2022 04:00 Jawa Timur, Jawa (Java) Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
20/03/2022 18:00 Western Australia, Hermite Island Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
20/03/2022 18:00 Jawa Timur, Jawa (Java) Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
22/03/2022 00:00 Jawa Timur, Sampang Indonesia  0.2
20/03/2022 22:00 Western Australia, Hopetoun Australia  0.2
20/03/2022 15:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Pangadaran Indonesia  0.2
22/03/2022 10:00 Nusa Tenggara Barat, Simbawa Badjo Indonesia  0.2
21/03/2022 08:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Pitai Indonesia  0.2
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Hala Indonesia  0.2
20/03/2022 19:00 Lampung, Sumatera (Sumatra) Belimbing Indonesia  0.2
22/03/2022 06:00 Bali, Bali Prancak Indonesia  0.1
20/03/2022 22:00 Nusa Tenggara Barat, Awang Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 16:00 Bali, Bali Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Banten, Jawa (Java) Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 12:00 Sulawesi Tenggara, Pulau Muna Lagili Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 07:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 10:00 Sulawesi Tenggara, Pulau Muna Tango Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 09:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Balawelin Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 08:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Wakarleli Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Pulau Raidjua Boedae Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Bali, Bali Benua Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 18:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Oisina Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 07:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Lewohajong Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 01:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Gardu Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Aplame Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Jawa Timur, Banraas Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Jawa Timur, Brakas Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 05:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Lamakera Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 00:00 Jawa Timur, Bundan Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 20:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Koekoewerang Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 01:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Tjikaret Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Pulau Sawu Ege Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 08:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Flores Balo Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 08:00 Jawa Timur, Gedugan Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 09:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Wotanglolong Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 , Palau Atauro Atauro Timor-Leste  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Jawa Timur, Katupat Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 09:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Flores Waroe Kasoe Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Banten, Jawa (Java) Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Sekalac Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 18:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Timor Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Batuidu Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 08:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Toedameda Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 08:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Batutuah Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Flores Watoedirang Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Pulau Wetar Mahuan Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 09:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Seda Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 10:00 Nusa Tenggara Barat, Simbawa Sowa Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 19:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Manatang Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 06:00 Bali, Bali Karangasem Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 05:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Flores Sika Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Sulawesi Selatan, Pulau Bonerate Asambi Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Pulau Wetar Parnata Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Pulau Wetar Naoes Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Luhulele Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 23:00 Jawa Timur, Goa-daja Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 11:00 Sulawesi Selatan, Goesoengbara Indonesia  0.1
22/03/2022 12:00 Maluku, Noewewan Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Nusa Tenggara Timur, Pulau Palu Ona Indonesia  0.1
21/03/2022 12:00 Sulawesi Tenggara, Pulau Butung Kondowa Indonesia  0.1