Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore
11 Apr 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MALAKAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (11 Apr 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.5 m 121 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 1.2 m 890 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Philippines10,754
+
Japan5,298 
Philippines5,455 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan, Micronesia
GREEN 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
GREEN 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 166 -
- - - - - Japan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGuam, Marshall Islands, Micronesia184,505
+
Guam168,408 
Marshall Islands46 
Micronesia16,049 
50-100 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Marshall Islands, Micronesia303,740
+
Japan2,224 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Guam1,476 
Philippines214,893 
Marshall Islands8,957 
Micronesia21,119 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Apr 2022 00:00 113 40 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 2 07 Apr 2022 06:00 248 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 3 07 Apr 2022 12:00 295 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 07 Apr 2022 18:00 230 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 08 Apr 2022 00:00 153 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 6 08 Apr 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Micronesia
Blue 7 08 Apr 2022 12:00 249 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 8 08 Apr 2022 18:00 231 1 thousand
- - - - Micronesia
Blue 9 09 Apr 2022 00:00 209 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 10 09 Apr 2022 06:00 277 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 11 09 Apr 2022 12:00 244 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 12 09 Apr 2022 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 13 10 Apr 2022 00:00 156 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 14 10 Apr 2022 06:00 229 7 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 15 10 Apr 2022 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Apr 2022 18:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 11 Apr 2022 00:00 138 4 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 18 11 Apr 2022 06:00 103 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 19 11 Apr 2022 12:00 538 180 thousand
- - - - Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Philippines, Marshall Islands, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC