Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
12 May 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (14 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 May 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 May 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 May 2022 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 May 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 May 2022 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 May 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 May 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 May 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 May 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 May 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 May 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 May 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 12 May 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

574 mm

Up to 198.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Sri Lanka16,456,606
+
India6,329,099 
Myanmar4,698 
Bangladesh10,070,233 
Sri Lanka52,574 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia181,669,024
+
China39,781,897 
India50,972,995 
Nepal269,688 
Myanmar7,140,856 
Bangladesh58,591,192 
Vietnam6,385,381 
Laos524,353 
Thailand5,754,909 
Sri Lanka10,080,673 
Malaysia780,287 
Indonesia1,386,787 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia353,678,442
+
China72,492,348 
India78,428,107 
Nepal9,924,104 
Myanmar19,138,051 
Bhutan320,567 
Bangladesh73,679,489 
Vietnam27,385,733 
Laos5,074,013 
Thailand39,372,553 
Cambodia2,563,632 
Sri Lanka2,834,253 
Maldives319,472 
Malaysia10,642,484 
Indonesia11,503,630 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 178 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 376 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 May 2022 06:00 152 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 10 09 May 2022 12:00 78 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Thailand
Blue 11 09 May 2022 18:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 May 2022 00:00 253 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 May 2022 06:00 161 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 10 May 2022 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 15 10 May 2022 18:00 152 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 16 11 May 2022 00:00 134 300 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 17 11 May 2022 06:00 77 -
- - - - - India
Blue 18 11 May 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - China, India
Blue 19 11 May 2022 18:00 69 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar
Blue 20 12 May 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 12 May 2022 06:00 274 50.6 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia451,608 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Malaysia1,633,230
+
India276,969 
Bangladesh472,289 
Myanmar4,325 
Thailand644,423 
Vietnam167,290 
Sri Lanka29,721 
Malaysia38,210 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 06:00 UTC