Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
11 May 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 May 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.6 m 222 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.6 m 691 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 May 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 May 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar6,644,591
+
India620,920 
Myanmar30 
Bangladesh6,023,641 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Sri Lanka50,441,615
+
China625,720 
India26,321,209 
Myanmar1,662,564 
Bhutan6,712 
Bangladesh20,780,381 
Vietnam372,261 
Laos741 
Sri Lanka672,023 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Maldives, Indonesia176,246,340
+
China43,774,138 
India62,625,252 
Nepal18,724 
Myanmar5,025,366 
Bhutan71,288 
Bangladesh30,234,203 
Vietnam20,803,287 
Laos1,563,113 
Thailand2,482,524 
Cambodia2,689 
Sri Lanka9,164,778 
Malaysia206,655 
Maldives237,781 
Indonesia36,537 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 May 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 07 May 2022 00:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 12:00 293 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 12:00 248 -
- - - - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam
Blue 6 09 May 2022 00:00 467 280 thousand
- - - - China, Bangladesh, Laos
Blue 7 09 May 2022 12:00 564 -
- - - - - Bhutan, Myanmar, China, Vietnam
Blue 8 10 May 2022 00:00 276 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
Blue 9 10 May 2022 12:00 293 3 thousand
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka
Blue 10 11 May 2022 00:00 371 57.1 million
- - - China, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Maldives, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 00:00 UTC