Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
12 May 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (14 May 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.6 m 691 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 58 km/h 0.6 m 691 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 May 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 May 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 May 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 May 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 May 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 12 May 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmBangladesh111,315 
250-500 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Sri Lanka29,472,329
+
China1,138 
India13,131,131 
Myanmar722,236 
Bhutan4,036 
Bangladesh14,417,581 
Vietnam204,147 
Sri Lanka992,056 
100-250 mmChina, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Maldives, Indonesia227,688,081
+
China56,919,357 
India72,754,407 
Nepal32,259 
Myanmar11,397,150 
Bhutan38,662 
Bangladesh44,416,708 
Vietnam20,786,145 
Laos2,707,519 
Thailand6,789,082 
Cambodia369,052 
Sri Lanka10,610,043 
Maldives79,445 
Malaysia189,563 
Indonesia598,684 
50-100 mmChina, India, Nepal, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia407,769,182
+
China65,358,924 
India106,190,615 
Nepal1,791,020 
Myanmar28,631,036 
Bhutan266,410 
Bangladesh92,377,597 
Vietnam23,481,496 
Laos3,344,518 
Thailand58,881,455 
Cambodia9,162,313 
Sri Lanka2,677,421 
Maldives231,610 
Malaysia5,480,662 
Indonesia9,894,098 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 May 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 07 May 2022 00:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 May 2022 12:00 293 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 12:00 248 -
- - - - - China, Myanmar, Vietnam
Blue 6 09 May 2022 00:00 467 280 thousand
- - - - China, Bangladesh, Laos
Blue 7 09 May 2022 12:00 564 -
- - - - - Bhutan, Myanmar, China, Vietnam
Blue 8 10 May 2022 00:00 276 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh
Blue 9 10 May 2022 12:00 293 3 thousand
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka
Blue 10 11 May 2022 00:00 222 -
- - - - - India, Bangladesh, China, Thailand
Blue 11 11 May 2022 12:00 212 240 thousand
- - - - India, Myanmar, China, Bangladesh, Vietnam
Blue 12 12 May 2022 00:00 375 89.1 million
- - - China, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia285,371 
0.25 - 0.5 mBangladesh, India, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia881,602
+
Bangladesh275,433 
India421,681 
Myanmar39,232 
Sri Lanka44,165 
Malaysia49,860 
Indonesia51,227 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 May 2022 00:00 UTC