Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
08 May 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 May 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.6 m 177 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 May 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

574 mm

Up to 8.3 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMyanmar, China, Bangladesh, Thailand8,279,070
+
China91,188 
Myanmar1,653,987 
Bangladesh5,856,730 
Thailand677,164 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia97,223,590
+
China18,571,116 
India5,803,593 
Myanmar15,561,608 
Nepal334,395 
Bangladesh38,287,781 
Vietnam885,619 
Thailand10,791,749 
Laos340,182 
Cambodia39,402 
Sri Lanka3,686,883 
Malaysia2,458,871 
Indonesia462,387 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 178 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 612 8.3 million
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 May 2022 06:00 UTC