Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
09 May 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 May 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.6 m 376 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

574 mm

Up to 14.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmChina, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, Indonesia14,540,181
+
China420 
Myanmar1,466,699 
Bangladesh13,059,395 
Thailand4,281 
Indonesia9,385 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia103,574,209
+
China6,989,955 
India11,079,223 
Myanmar11,762,248 
Bhutan336 
Nepal32,368 
Bangladesh59,986,457 
Vietnam813,012 
Laos1,787,807 
Thailand2,971,198 
Cambodia45,552 
Sri Lanka7,176,777 
Malaysia81,824 
Indonesia847,446 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 178 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 483 14.5 million
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 May 2022 00:00 UTC