Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAS-22
in Mexico
16 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (17 Jun 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 148 km/h 0.6 m 329 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 169 km/h 0.6 m 796 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico10,008 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jun 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jun 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jun 2022 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jun 2022 00:00 148 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

796 mm

Up to 460 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico419 
100-250 mmMexico461,425 
50-100 mmMexico2,320,398 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jun 2022 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Jun 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 14 Jun 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Jun 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Jun 2022 12:00 359 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jun 2022 18:00 356 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 16 Jun 2022 00:00 488 460 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC