Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
27 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (28 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 186 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.5 m 429 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 6 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada5,656
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines4,617 
Grenada1,038 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 79 -
- - - - - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Curaçao, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, Guyana200,904
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines15,198 
Curaçao811 
Grenada48,066 
Venezuela60,706 
Trinidad and Tobago62,460 
Guyana13,660 
50-100 mmSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Curaçao, Grenada, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana1,596,450
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines37,969 
Aruba2,396 
Curaçao103,106 
Grenada40,074 
Bonaire01 
Venezuela661,228 
Trinidad and Tobago724,884 
Guyana25,974 
Suriname808 
French Guiana03 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 370 200 thousand
- - - - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Curaçao, Grenada, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Zulia, Sichipes, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 28/06/2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28/06/2022 02:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.5
30/06/2022 01:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.5
30/06/2022 01:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.5
28/06/2022 00:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.4
28/06/2022 02:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.4
28/06/2022 02:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.4
28/06/2022 21:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.4
28/06/2022 00:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.4
28/06/2022 08:00 East Berbice-Corentyne, Goldspie Guyana  0.3
27/06/2022 23:00 Demerara-Mahaica, Enmore Guyana  0.3
27/06/2022 22:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.3
28/06/2022 02:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.3
28/06/2022 02:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.3
28/06/2022 01:00 Amapa, Euca Brazil  0.3
28/06/2022 02:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 Amapa, Agua Doce Brazil  0.2
27/06/2022 23:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
27/06/2022 21:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.2
27/06/2022 21:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.2
27/06/2022 21:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.2
30/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
28/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 00:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 00:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 00:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
27/06/2022 23:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
28/06/2022 01:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 01:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.2
30/06/2022 04:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
27/06/2022 20:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28/06/2022 22:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
27/06/2022 21:00 , Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
28/06/2022 02:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
28/06/2022 18:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 01:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
29/06/2022 08:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
28/06/2022 05:00 , Saint Margaret Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
27/06/2022 21:00 Mayaro, Saint Joseph Trinidad and Tobago  0.2
28/06/2022 17:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.2
28/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
30/06/2022 03:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.2
28/06/2022 19:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
28/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
30/06/2022 17:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.2
30/06/2022 03:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.2
28/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
30/06/2022 16:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.2
28/06/2022 03:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.2
29/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
30/06/2022 01:00 , El Roque Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Playon Chico Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 17:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Carreto Panama  0.1
28/06/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Colon, Piedra de Galera Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Colon, Tubuala Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Colon, El Porvenir Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
28/06/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
30/06/2022 15:00 Falcon, Azubure Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Falcon, El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
30/06/2022 05:00 , Bonaire Kralendijk Netherlands Antilles  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Manzanillo Venezuela  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 , Curacao Newport Netherlands Antilles  0.1
28/06/2022 18:00 Sucre, Punta Arenas Venezuela  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
29/06/2022 09:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.1
28/06/2022 17:00 Sud, Saint-Jean Haiti  0.1
28/06/2022 00:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
28/06/2022 00:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
28/06/2022 23:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.1
28/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
28/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
29/06/2022 08:00 Tobago, Belle Garden Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
28/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
29/06/2022 10:00 Tobago, Mount Pleasant Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
28/06/2022 04:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
29/06/2022 10:00 Saint David, Thebaide Grenada  0.1
28/06/2022 04:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 22:00 Ciego de Avila, Pueblo Punta Alegre Cuba  0.1
29/06/2022 10:00 , Mopion Island Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
29/06/2022 10:00 , Union Island Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
30/06/2022 04:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Florida, Coral Gables United States  0.1
30/06/2022 03:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
29/06/2022 11:00 , Canouan Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
28/06/2022 04:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
29/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
30/06/2022 02:00 , Bequia Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
28/06/2022 03:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
28/06/2022 02:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
28/06/2022 04:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
29/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1