Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
30 Jun 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (30 Jun 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 63 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSaba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis29,183
+
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis22,720 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCosta Rica98,216 
100-250 mmMexico, Guadeloupe, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela2,317,013
+
Mexico6,836 
Guadeloupe242,234 
Nicaragua399,894 
Colombia119,047 
Costa Rica1,548,830 
Venezuela171 
50-100 mmMexico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Brazil15,007,341
+
Mexico1,850,179 
Virgin Islands, U.S.49,714 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Antigua and Barbuda40,097 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe173,245 
Honduras249,517 
Nicaragua1,520,023 
Martinique147,436 
Colombia6,910,766 
Costa Rica2,577,823 
Venezuela1,138,855 
Panama281,390 
Brazil1,129 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico, Venezuela
Blue 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 58 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 495 2.4 million
- - - Mexico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC