Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
01 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (01 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.5 m 78 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCosta Rica392,049 
100-250 mmMexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia4,420,811
+
Mexico25,643 
Honduras24,501 
Nicaragua360,143 
Colombia32,589 
Costa Rica3,977,933 
50-100 mmMexico, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama7,281,255
+
Mexico604,378 
Dominican Republic262,104 
Puerto Rico67,672 
Guadeloupe181,861 
Honduras74,254 
Dominica16,300 
Nicaragua589,585 
Martinique163,526 
Saint Lucia20,416 
Colombia3,624,955 
Costa Rica300,269 
Venezuela1,253,407 
Panama122,522 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico, Venezuela
Blue 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 58 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 63 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 445 4.8 million
- - - Mexico, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC