Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
08 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 Jul 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 112 km/h 0.5 m 192 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Jul 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Jul 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Jul 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Jul 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 05 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 05 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 06 Jul 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 06 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 07 Jul 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 07 Jul 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 08 Jul 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmNicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil274,754
+
Nicaragua6,188 
Colombia212,549 
Costa Rica5,696 
Venezuela50,320 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil7,336,566
+
Mexico551,579 
Guatemala5,310 
Nicaragua168,278 
Colombia3,617,613 
Costa Rica1,337,952 
Venezuela1,040,350 
Trinidad and Tobago764 
Panama382,716 
Guyana88,085 
Suriname10,012 
French Guiana86,293 
Brazil47,608 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 120 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
Blue 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 185 Few people
- - - - Guyana, Brazil
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Colombia, French Guiana
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 171 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
Blue 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 143 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 130 50 thousand
- - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
Blue 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 246 340 thousand
- - - - Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 12 02 Jul 2022 12:00 206 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia
Blue 13 03 Jul 2022 00:00 281 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Guyana, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 14 03 Jul 2022 12:00 212 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Colombia
Blue 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 147 -
- - - - - Mexico, Colombia, Guyana
Blue 16 04 Jul 2022 12:00 213 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Panama, Colombia
Blue 17 05 Jul 2022 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 18 05 Jul 2022 12:00 221 -
- - - - - Panama, Colombia
Blue 19 06 Jul 2022 00:00 206 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 20 06 Jul 2022 12:00 301 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 21 07 Jul 2022 00:00 366 -
- - - - - Colombia, Guyana, Brazil
Blue 22 07 Jul 2022 12:00 177 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 23 08 Jul 2022 00:00 344 270 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC