Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
10 Jul 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (06 Jul 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Jul 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Jul 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Jul 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Jul 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 05 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 05 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 06 Jul 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 06 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 07 Jul 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 07 Jul 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 08 Jul 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 08 Jul 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 09 Jul 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 09 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 10 Jul 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 10 Jul 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1240 mm

Up to 102.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmColombia1,955 
750-1000 mmColombia11,683 
500-750 mmColombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela488,691
+
Colombia340,557 
Venezuela12,869 
Costa Rica135,263 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil13,740,693
+
Mexico891,399 
Guatemala212,399 
Honduras3,741 
Nicaragua243,969 
Colombia6,861,188 
Venezuela1,134,919 
Costa Rica2,741,856 
Panama935,049 
Guyana480,195 
Suriname6,012 
French Guiana224,594 
Brazil5,366 
100-250 mmMexico, United States, Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Belize, Guatemala, Guadeloupe, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, El Salvador, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil88,388,226
+
Mexico20,660,952 
United States1,632,872 
Cuba212,002 
Haiti598,634 
Dominican Republic4,881,054 
Belize74,222 
Puerto Rico226,040 
Jamaica309,910 
Guatemala7,420,988 
Honduras3,798,281 
Guadeloupe236,048 
Dominica14,800 
Nicaragua2,758,096 
Martinique198,213 
El Salvador3,756,603 
Saint Lucia52,148 
Colombia20,724,129 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines53,807 
Barbados35,292 
Grenada55,462 
Venezuela13,652,041 
Trinidad and Tobago745,623 
Costa Rica1,930,712 
Panama2,989,921 
Guyana284,729 
Suriname540,119 
French Guiana41,637 
Brazil503,879 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Belize, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Guatemala, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Honduras, Guadeloupe, Martinique, El Salvador, Saint Lucia, Nicaragua, Barbados, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Curaçao, Colombia, Bonaire, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, Brazil, French Guiana, Suriname119,294,544
+
Mexico52,152,131 
United States6,921,839 
Bahamas35,437 
Cuba8,722,267 
Turks and Caicos Islands27,715 
Haiti4,878,398 
Dominican Republic2,960,565 
British Virgin Islands30,004 
Belize193,928 
Puerto Rico3,244,128 
Jamaica1,254,879 
Virgin Islands, U.S.94,908 
Anguilla14,614 
Saint-Martin11,629 
Sint Maarten38,758 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda85,724 
Guatemala8,415,767 
Saint Kitts and Nevis42,672 
Honduras3,983,634 
Guadeloupe178,554 
Dominica57,189 
Nicaragua2,649,117 
Martinique172,342 
El Salvador2,368,958 
Saint Lucia125,994 
Colombia7,255,081 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines51,783 
Barbados248,922 
Grenada51,362 
Curaçao157,202 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela12,224,962 
Trinidad and Tobago612,673 
Guyana159 
French Guiana82 
Brazil2,309 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 120 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
Blue 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 185 Few people
- - - - Guyana, Brazil
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Colombia, French Guiana
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 171 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
Blue 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 143 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Jun 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 9 01 Jul 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 10 01 Jul 2022 12:00 130 50 thousand
- - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
Blue 11 02 Jul 2022 00:00 246 340 thousand
- - - - Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 12 02 Jul 2022 12:00 206 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia
Blue 13 03 Jul 2022 00:00 281 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Guyana, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 14 03 Jul 2022 12:00 212 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Colombia
Blue 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 147 -
- - - - - Mexico, Colombia, Guyana
Blue 16 04 Jul 2022 12:00 213 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Panama, Colombia
Blue 17 05 Jul 2022 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 18 05 Jul 2022 12:00 221 -
- - - - - Panama, Colombia
Blue 19 06 Jul 2022 00:00 206 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 20 06 Jul 2022 12:00 301 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 21 07 Jul 2022 00:00 366 -
- - - - - Colombia, Guyana, Brazil
Blue 22 07 Jul 2022 12:00 177 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 23 08 Jul 2022 00:00 192 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 24 08 Jul 2022 12:00 162 Few people
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 25 09 Jul 2022 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 26 09 Jul 2022 12:00 135 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 27 10 Jul 2022 00:00 209 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Colombia
Blue 28 10 Jul 2022 12:00 333 1.4 million
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mPanama5,955 
0.25 - 0.5 mUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil389,444
+
United States12,923 
Mexico38,370 
Guatemala16,197 
Nicaragua22,662 
Honduras4,873 
El Salvador104 
Venezuela64,307 
Costa Rica358 
Trinidad and Tobago785 
Panama29,463 
Colombia12,708 
Guyana168,041 
Suriname17,111 
French Guiana1,537 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC