Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
04 Jul 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.4 m 69 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 - 170 thousand
Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Haiti, Panama
GREEN 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

695 mm

Up to 14.3 million can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia3,888,036
+
Mexico108,796 
Guatemala119,157 
Costa Rica3,617,156 
Panama42,290 
Colombia636 
50-100 mmMexico, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Colombia, Guyana14,290,276
+
Mexico6,606,787 
Cuba547,227 
Dominican Republic116,516 
Puerto Rico6,600 
Guatemala1,627,992 
Nicaragua523,011 
El Salvador675,836 
Costa Rica927,502 
Venezuela767,041 
Panama618,224 
Colombia1,642,740 
Guyana230,796 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico, Venezuela
Blue 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 58 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 63 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 164 Few people
- - - - Costa Rica, Nicaragua
Blue 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 91 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 66 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 88 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 109 -
- - - - - Mexico, Nicaragua
Blue 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 159 20 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 324 3.9 million
- - - - Mexico, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Colombia, Guyana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC