Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
28 Jun 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Grenada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (30 Jun 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.5 m 429 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.5 m 429 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormGrenada958 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Grenada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana261,404
+
Bonaire2,197 
Venezuela252,815 
Trinidad and Tobago3,902 
Guyana2,489 
50-100 mmSaint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Grenada, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana2,194,648
+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1,803 
Aruba76,990 
Grenada54,741 
Colombia32,905 
Curaçao8,998 
Bonaire16,200 
Venezuela1,651,886 
Trinidad and Tobago307,098 
Guyana44,023 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 429 260 thousand
- - - - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Aruba, Grenada, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mUnited States, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil393,425
+
United States208 
Guatemala16,197 
Honduras8,329 
Nicaragua25,637 
Venezuela49,718 
Trinidad and Tobago273 
Panama14,135 
Colombia13,272 
Guyana247,379 
Suriname16,734 
French Guiana1,537 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 06:00 UTC