Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h n.a. 99 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 - 170 thousand
Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Haiti, Panama
GREEN 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 05 Jul 2022 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 05 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 05 Jul 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 05 Jul 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 06 Jul 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 06 Jul 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 06 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 06 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 07 Jul 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 07 Jul 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 07 Jul 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 07 Jul 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 08 Jul 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 43 08 Jul 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 44 08 Jul 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 45 08 Jul 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 46 09 Jul 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmNicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia573,789
+
Nicaragua208,308 
Costa Rica110,649 
Colombia52,494 
Panama202,336 
50-100 mmMexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama, Suriname, Brazil16,317,384
+
Mexico2,338,134 
Honduras11,153 
Guatemala901,151 
Nicaragua612,443 
Costa Rica3,957,147 
Colombia7,171,858 
Venezuela381,151 
Panama936,622 
Suriname7,695 
Brazil26 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico, Venezuela
Blue 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 58 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 63 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 164 Few people
- - - - Costa Rica, Nicaragua
Blue 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 91 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 66 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 88 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 109 -
- - - - - Mexico, Nicaragua
Blue 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 159 20 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 69 -
- - - - - Cuba, Mexico
Blue 30 05 Jul 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 31 05 Jul 2022 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 05 Jul 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 05 Jul 2022 18:00 88 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 34 06 Jul 2022 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 06 Jul 2022 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 06 Jul 2022 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 06 Jul 2022 18:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 07 Jul 2022 00:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 07 Jul 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 07 Jul 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 07 Jul 2022 18:00 103 -
- - - - - Haiti, Dominican Republic
Blue 42 08 Jul 2022 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 43 08 Jul 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 08 Jul 2022 12:00 172 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 45 08 Jul 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 09 Jul 2022 00:00 293 380 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.667118668556 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC