Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
28 Jun 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Aruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (28 Jun 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 127 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 330 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago332,487
+
Aruba36,713 
Colombia65,924 
Curaçao157,202 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela43,926 
Trinidad and Tobago10,322 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Aruba, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmGrenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Colombia, Brazil, Suriname525,849
+
Grenada103,292 
Venezuela154,741 
Trinidad and Tobago115,618 
Costa Rica106,426 
Colombia45,721 
Suriname36 
Brazil12 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil, Guyana10,720,021
+
Mexico3,029,772 
United States18 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines109,461 
Barbados256,140 
Grenada3,532 
Venezuela1,976,228 
Nicaragua8,616 
Trinidad and Tobago863,062 
Costa Rica699,448 
Panama264,971 
Colombia3,058,811 
Suriname410,363 
French Guiana35,141 
Brazil4,436 
Guyana14 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 213 530 thousand
- - - - Mexico, United States, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil, Guyana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jun 2022 18:00 UTC