Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
10 Jul 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, Trinidad and Tobago
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (08 Jul 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNicaragua, Trinidad and Tobago63,897
+
Nicaragua59,369 
Trinidad and Tobago4,528 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
GREEN 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 - 170 thousand
Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Haiti, Panama
GREEN 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 05 Jul 2022 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 05 Jul 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 05 Jul 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 05 Jul 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 06 Jul 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 06 Jul 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 06 Jul 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 06 Jul 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 07 Jul 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 07 Jul 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 07 Jul 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 07 Jul 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 08 Jul 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 43 08 Jul 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 44 08 Jul 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 45 08 Jul 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 46 09 Jul 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 47 09 Jul 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 48 09 Jul 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 49 09 Jul 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 50 10 Jul 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 51 10 Jul 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 52 10 Jul 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 53 10 Jul 2022 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

695 mm

Up to 118.4 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmCosta Rica4,479 
250-500 mmMexico, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana10,621,584
+
Mexico1,142,048 
Honduras1,497 
Nicaragua519,048 
Colombia1,661,546 
Venezuela16,090 
Trinidad and Tobago9,862 
Costa Rica4,078,220 
Panama3,161,428 
Guyana31,840 
100-250 mmMexico, United States, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, Belize, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, El Salvador, Colombia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil107,736,522
+
Mexico38,940,493 
United States835,834 
Cuba986,483 
Dominican Republic3,858,659 
Haiti214,684 
Puerto Rico749,641 
Belize73,660 
Guatemala9,171,532 
Honduras4,035,655 
Guadeloupe14,674 
Dominica12,112 
Nicaragua3,258,252 
Martinique166,142 
El Salvador2,515,288 
Colombia29,801,403 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines81,935 
Grenada106,824 
Venezuela8,070,068 
Trinidad and Tobago1,348,433 
Costa Rica725,134 
Panama763,542 
Guyana716,552 
Suriname541,700 
French Guiana259,347 
Brazil488,462 
50-100 mmMexico, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Belize, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guatemala, Honduras, Guadeloupe, Martinique, El Salvador, Saint Lucia, Nicaragua, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Aruba, Curaçao, Colombia, Bonaire, Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil, French Guiana102,306,140
+
Mexico30,584,385 
United States4,259,282 
Bahamas367,869 
Cuba10,011,030 
Dominican Republic3,693,247 
Haiti6,545,989 
British Virgin Islands30,117 
Jamaica408,208 
Puerto Rico969,320 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Belize190,551 
Anguilla14,614 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda1,810 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis53,187 
Guatemala6,664,876 
Honduras3,394,406 
Guadeloupe304,349 
Dominica60,567 
Nicaragua1,445,920 
Martinique227,816 
El Salvador3,610,273 
Saint Lucia184,999 
Colombia13,226,533 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines27,526 
Barbados284,214 
Aruba103,889 
Curaçao157,202 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela15,207,067 
Guyana8,347 
Suriname4,441 
French Guiana6,966 
Brazil34,259 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico, Venezuela
Blue 11 30 Jun 2022 06:00 58 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 12 30 Jun 2022 12:00 63 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 13 30 Jun 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 01 Jul 2022 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 01 Jul 2022 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 01 Jul 2022 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 01 Jul 2022 18:00 164 Few people
- - - - Costa Rica, Nicaragua
Blue 18 02 Jul 2022 00:00 91 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 19 02 Jul 2022 06:00 66 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 20 02 Jul 2022 12:00 88 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 21 02 Jul 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Honduras, Nicaragua
Blue 22 03 Jul 2022 00:00 109 -
- - - - - Mexico, Nicaragua
Blue 23 03 Jul 2022 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 03 Jul 2022 12:00 81 -
- - - - - Nicaragua
Blue 25 03 Jul 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 04 Jul 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 04 Jul 2022 06:00 159 20 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 28 04 Jul 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 04 Jul 2022 18:00 69 -
- - - - - Cuba, Mexico
Blue 30 05 Jul 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 31 05 Jul 2022 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 05 Jul 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 05 Jul 2022 18:00 88 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 34 06 Jul 2022 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 06 Jul 2022 06:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 06 Jul 2022 12:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 06 Jul 2022 18:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 07 Jul 2022 00:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 07 Jul 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 07 Jul 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 07 Jul 2022 18:00 103 -
- - - - - Haiti, Dominican Republic
Blue 42 08 Jul 2022 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 43 08 Jul 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 08 Jul 2022 12:00 172 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 45 08 Jul 2022 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 09 Jul 2022 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 47 09 Jul 2022 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 48 09 Jul 2022 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 49 09 Jul 2022 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 50 10 Jul 2022 00:00 128 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 51 10 Jul 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 52 10 Jul 2022 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 53 10 Jul 2022 18:00 330 570 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama, Suriname, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mVenezuela, Panama13,651
+
Venezuela10,916 
Panama2,734 
0.25 - 0.5 mUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Colombia, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil516,375
+
United States22,900 
Mexico62,672 
Guatemala16,197 
Honduras5,016 
Nicaragua24,269 
Venezuela100,535 
Trinidad and Tobago3,784 
Colombia12,754 
Panama32,497 
Guyana211,560 
Suriname22,647 
French Guiana1,537 
Brazil01 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC