Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
30 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (30 Jun 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 96 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 0.6 m 1240 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCosta Rica, Colombia2,932
+
Colombia133 
Costa Rica2,798 
100-250 mmNicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela1,342,171
+
Nicaragua203,546 
Colombia265,672 
Costa Rica851,980 
Venezuela20,973 
50-100 mmMexico, Puerto Rico, Haiti, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Martinique, El Salvador, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Brazil9,340,546
+
Mexico91,453 
Puerto Rico3,732 
Haiti18,263 
Guadeloupe35,374 
Guatemala226,962 
Honduras130,407 
Dominica10,596 
Nicaragua1,505,952 
Martinique2,566 
El Salvador17,572 
Colombia4,685,640 
Trinidad and Tobago5,940 
Costa Rica1,801,144 
Venezuela729,714 
Panama74,403 
Guyana613 
Brazil208 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 00:00 120 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
Blue 2 27 Jun 2022 12:00 185 Few people
- - - - Guyana, Brazil
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 00:00 129 -
- - - - - Colombia, French Guiana
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 171 -
- - - - - Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
Blue 5 29 Jun 2022 00:00 143 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
Blue 7 30 Jun 2022 00:00 290 1.3 million
- - - Mexico, Puerto Rico, Haiti, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Martinique, El Salvador, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Panama, Guyana, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC