Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AERE-22
in Japan
04 Jul 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AERE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (07 Jul 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.9 m 173 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 1.7 m 580 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 9 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan8,639 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Hong Kong, China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2022 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands
GREEN 5 02 Jul 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan, Hong Kong, China, Macao
GREEN 6 02 Jul 2022 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan, China
GREEN 7 03 Jul 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Jul 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Jul 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Jul 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina196,121 
100-250 mmChina, North Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Philippines81,878,197
+
China71,008,567 
North Korea943,313 
Japan7,119,148 
Hong Kong87,398 
Philippines2,719,770 
50-100 mmRussia, China, Mongolia, North Korea, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia393,812,333
+
Russia594 
China296,655,004 
Mongolia4,434 
North Korea6,522,680 
Japan40,866,641 
South Korea159 
Taiwan3,684,777 
Hong Kong6,504,604 
Vietnam37,439 
Philippines39,523,272 
Micronesia2,972 
Palau2,737 
Malaysia7,015 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2022 00:00 155 -
- - - - - South Korea, North Korea, China
Blue 2 30 Jun 2022 12:00 165 Few people
- - - - North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 196 -
- - - - - North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 4 01 Jul 2022 12:00 212 280 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea
Blue 5 02 Jul 2022 00:00 257 2.1 million
- - - - China
Blue 6 02 Jul 2022 12:00 190 1.5 million
- - - - China, Japan, Hong Kong
Blue 7 03 Jul 2022 00:00 163 80 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Taiwan
Blue 8 03 Jul 2022 12:00 147 3 thousand
- - - - China, Japan
Blue 9 04 Jul 2022 00:00 224 330 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Philippines
Blue 10 04 Jul 2022 12:00 343 82.1 million
- - - Russia, China, Mongolia, North Korea, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC