Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AERE-22
in Japan
05 Jul 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AERE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mongolia, China, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (07 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.8 m 117 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.8 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMongolia, China, Japan19,133
+
Mongolia82 
China18,843 
Japan207 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 5 01 Jul 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 6 01 Jul 2022 18:00 115 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 7 02 Jul 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan, Hong Kong, China
GREEN 8 02 Jul 2022 06:00 94 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 02 Jul 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan, China
GREEN 10 02 Jul 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 03 Jul 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 03 Jul 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Jul 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Jul 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Jul 2022 06:00 65 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 17 04 Jul 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Jul 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 05 Jul 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmChina, North Korea, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Micronesia, Palau57,186,120
+
China48,845,097 
North Korea5,804,131 
Japan4,175 
Vietnam30,153 
Philippines2,485,924 
Micronesia1,824 
Palau14,811 
50-100 mmChina, Mongolia, Russia, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia, Palau184,811,927
+
China158,957,116 
Mongolia1,214 
Russia6,449 
North Korea7,373,955 
Japan2,086,035 
Taiwan471,900 
Vietnam379,348 
Philippines15,511,251 
Guam9,239 
Micronesia9,077 
Palau6,336 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2022 12:00 118 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 2 30 Jun 2022 18:00 196 50 thousand
- - - - North Korea, Philippines
Blue 3 01 Jul 2022 00:00 226 -
- - - - - China, Paracel Islands
Blue 4 01 Jul 2022 06:00 171 -
- - - - - China, Hong Kong
Blue 5 01 Jul 2022 12:00 147 -
- - - - - Japan, China
Blue 6 01 Jul 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan
Blue 7 02 Jul 2022 00:00 158 -
- - - - - China
Blue 8 02 Jul 2022 06:00 126 20 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 9 02 Jul 2022 12:00 92 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 02 Jul 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 03 Jul 2022 00:00 100 Few people
- - - - China
Blue 12 03 Jul 2022 06:00 62 -
- - - - - China
Blue 13 03 Jul 2022 12:00 93 -
- - - - - China
Blue 14 03 Jul 2022 18:00 128 40 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 15 04 Jul 2022 00:00 147 1.2 million
- - - - China
Blue 16 04 Jul 2022 06:00 81 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 17 04 Jul 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan, China
Blue 18 04 Jul 2022 18:00 106 100 thousand
- - - - Japan, China
Blue 19 05 Jul 2022 00:00 305 57.2 million
- - - - China, Mongolia, Russia, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC