Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHT-22
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHT-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Aug 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 111 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.4 m 560 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMyanmar, Philippines2,128,600
+
Myanmar1,318,986 
Philippines809,613 
100-250 mmMyanmar, India, China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Cambodia42,433,136
+
China5,045,078 
India325 
Myanmar2,899,558 
Vietnam1,873 
Hong Kong4,677,839 
Laos22,341 
Thailand86,865 
Philippines29,651,165 
Cambodia48,089 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia135,806,033
+
China98,202,629 
India7,539 
Myanmar2,671,729 
Taiwan1,442,077 
Vietnam4,840,920 
Hong Kong2,648,642 
Macao579,652 
Laos2,205,999 
Thailand5,132,646 
Philippines17,641,734 
Cambodia432,462 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 365 44.6 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC