Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHT-22
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHT-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Thailand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 Aug 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 127 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.4 m 560 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

76 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormThailand494 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Thailand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines, Thailand, Cambodia5,586,977
+
Thailand42,535 
Philippines5,500,981 
Cambodia43,460 
100-250 mmChina, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia41,847,912
+
China2,525,235 
Myanmar4,950,600 
Vietnam3,448,289 
Laos12,295 
Thailand316,818 
Philippines30,570,420 
Cambodia24,253 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia127,778,921
+
China73,960,863 
Japan6,779 
India2,797 
Myanmar1,966,940 
Taiwan804,425 
Vietnam18,192,039 
Hong Kong2,240,813 
Macao579,652 
Laos1,646,800 
Thailand4,812,343 
Philippines21,553,557 
Cambodia2,011,909 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - China, Hong Kong, Myanmar
Blue 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 506 47.4 million
- - - China, Japan, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC