Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHT-22
Off-shore
04 Aug 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHT-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 43 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Aug 08:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 43 km/h 0.4 m 66 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.4 m 560 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Aug 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Aug 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmCambodia1,958 
250-500 mmMyanmar, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand1,235,947
+
Myanmar839,938 
Thailand27,464 
Philippines325,565 
Cambodia42,978 
100-250 mmIndia, Myanmar, China, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines, Laos, Cambodia35,706,260
+
China566 
India252 
Myanmar3,942,898 
Vietnam278,213 
Laos67,630 
Thailand1,065,225 
Philippines29,945,266 
Cambodia406,207 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia94,133,061
+
China30,844,306 
India7,613 
Myanmar2,330,538 
Taiwan33,883 
Vietnam26,689,109 
Laos2,287,758 
Thailand9,905,633 
Philippines21,242,833 
Cambodia791,384 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Aug 2022 00:00 111 Few people
- - - - China, Hong Kong, Myanmar
Blue 2 04 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Aug 2022 12:00 60 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 04 Aug 2022 18:00 598 36.9 million
- - China, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Aug 2022 18:00 UTC