Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
06 Aug 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (06 Aug 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 332 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 54 km/h 0.6 m 461 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala6,673
+
Mexico6,249 
Guatemala423 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala2,213,816
+
Mexico1,879,007 
Guatemala334,808 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 00:00 411 7 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Texas, North Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 08/08/2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08/08/2022 01:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
06/08/2022 07:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
07/08/2022 02:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.2
07/08/2022 23:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
08/08/2022 05:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
08/08/2022 05:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
08/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
08/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
06/08/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
06/08/2022 03:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
08/08/2022 05:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
08/08/2022 05:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
08/08/2022 01:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
08/08/2022 01:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
08/08/2022 08:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
09/08/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
07/08/2022 00:00 Baja California, Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
08/08/2022 18:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 18:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
06/08/2022 07:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 19:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 18:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
06/08/2022 06:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.1