Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
06 Aug 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 Aug 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.6 m 255 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 54 km/h 0.6 m 461 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala1,849
+
Mexico1,181 
Guatemala667 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala2,577,267
+
United States1,088 
Mexico2,274,477 
Guatemala301,701 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 12:00 296 2 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Texas, North Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 08/08/2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08/08/2022 12:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
08/08/2022 13:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
08/08/2022 13:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
08/08/2022 15:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
08/08/2022 15:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
08/08/2022 09:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
08/08/2022 13:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
08/08/2022 13:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
06/08/2022 17:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.2
08/08/2022 14:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
08/08/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
08/08/2022 10:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
08/08/2022 08:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
08/08/2022 08:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
08/08/2022 15:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
08/08/2022 09:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
08/08/2022 09:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
06/08/2022 07:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 11:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 13:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 12:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 15:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
08/08/2022 10:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 09:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
08/08/2022 11:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 11:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 20:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.1
06/08/2022 16:00 Baja California, Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
06/08/2022 07:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1