Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 Aug 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.5 m 140 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.5 m 295 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 231 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Sonora, La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08/08/2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08/08/2022 18:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.2
10/08/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
10/08/2022 15:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.1
10/08/2022 17:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
10/08/2022 17:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.1
10/08/2022 16:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.1
10/08/2022 10:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
07/08/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10/08/2022 13:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
10/08/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
10/08/2022 16:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
10/08/2022 16:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
10/08/2022 13:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 17:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.1
10/08/2022 17:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.1
10/08/2022 13:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10/08/2022 14:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 01:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 11:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
08/08/2022 18:00 Baja California, Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 12:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
10/08/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1