Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
24 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 360 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 234 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.7 m (24 Sep 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 360 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands4,972
+
Canada05 
Turks and Caicos Islands4,967 
CAT. 2Turks and Caicos Islands1,217 
CAT. 1Canada, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico351,030
+
Canada65,820 
Bermuda62,003 
Turks and Caicos Islands985 
Dominican Republic125,073 
Puerto Rico97,147 
Tropical StormCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe7,183,056
+
Canada1,205,985 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon6,288 
Bahamas293 
Turks and Caicos Islands27,168 
Dominican Republic1,678,112 
Puerto Rico3,529,693 
British Virgin Islands25,755 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Anguilla6,653 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda91,818 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe346,121 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 122 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 140 100 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 151 Few people
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 148 40 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 137 20 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
ORANGE 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 176 70 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
GREEN 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 176 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
RED 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 202 5 thousand
- - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
RED 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 194 7 thousand
- - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 187 Few people
- - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 28 21 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 21 Sep 2022 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 21 Sep 2022 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 22 Sep 2022 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 22 Sep 2022 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 22 Sep 2022 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 22 Sep 2022 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 23 Sep 2022 00:00 202 -
- - - - - Bermuda
GREEN 36 23 Sep 2022 06:00 194 60 thousand -
- - - - Bermuda
GREEN 37 23 Sep 2022 12:00 212 -
- - - - - Bermuda
GREEN 38 23 Sep 2022 18:00 202 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 39 24 Sep 2022 00:00 187 40 thousand
-
- - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
GREEN 40 24 Sep 2022 06:00 158 40 thousand
- - - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
GREEN 41 24 Sep 2022 12:00 130 10 thousand
- - - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
GREEN 42 24 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmPuerto Rico317 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico48,289 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.269,922
+
Puerto Rico263,302 
Virgin Islands, U.S.6,620 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Guadeloupe1,661,834
+
Dominican Republic371,276 
Puerto Rico1,257,122 
Virgin Islands, U.S.24,737 
Guadeloupe8,697 
100-250 mmCanada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe4,252,043
+
Canada114,799 
Turks and Caicos Islands6,507 
Dominican Republic1,837,065 
Puerto Rico2,110,143 
British Virgin Islands4,224 
Virgin Islands, U.S.24,744 
Saint-Barthélemy3,117 
Saint Kitts and Nevis15,288 
Antigua and Barbuda38,537 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe92,489 
50-100 mmCanada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Haiti, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Martinique5,377,486
+
Canada927,628 
Turks and Caicos Islands7,097 
Dominican Republic3,881,769 
Puerto Rico4,061 
British Virgin Islands24,040 
Virgin Islands, U.S.50,188 
Haiti28,750 
Anguilla14,440 
Saint-Martin28,288 
Sint Maarten35,377 
Saint-Barthélemy7,323 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis35,460 
Antigua and Barbuda51,470 
Guadeloupe239,935 
Martinique35,191 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 311 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 373 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 226 3 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 515 30 thousand
- - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 355 200 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 633 1.7 million
- - - Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 19 19 Sep 2022 00:00 347 300 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 20 19 Sep 2022 06:00 331 720 thousand
- - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 21 19 Sep 2022 12:00 267 350 thousand
- - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Haiti
Blue 22 19 Sep 2022 18:00 261 100 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 23 20 Sep 2022 00:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 20 Sep 2022 06:00 160 5 thousand -
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 25 20 Sep 2022 12:00 252 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 26 20 Sep 2022 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 21 Sep 2022 00:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 21 Sep 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 21 Sep 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 21 Sep 2022 18:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 22 Sep 2022 00:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 22 Sep 2022 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 22 Sep 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 22 Sep 2022 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 23 Sep 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 23 Sep 2022 06:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 23 Sep 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 23 Sep 2022 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 24 Sep 2022 00:00 128 8 thousand
- - - - Canada
Blue 40 24 Sep 2022 06:00 69 -
- - - - - Canada
Blue 41 24 Sep 2022 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Canada
Blue 42 24 Sep 2022 18:00 111 Few people
- - - - Canada




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mCanada, Dominican Republic16,785
+
Canada9,387 
Dominican Republic7,398 
0.25 - 0.5 mCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago640,009
+
Canada109,282 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon1,581 
United States187,560 
Turks and Caicos Islands5,611 
Haiti25,796 
Dominican Republic57,153 
Puerto Rico115,418 
Antigua and Barbuda10,870 
Venezuela123,768 
Trinidad and Tobago2,967 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC