Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARIAN-22
Off-shore
31 Dec 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARIAN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 209 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (19 Dec 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 209 km/h 0.6 m 926 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 209 km/h 0.6 m 926 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 53 31 Dec 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 54 31 Dec 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 55 31 Dec 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

926 mm

Up to 990 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia994,209 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands715,597
+
Indonesia714,979 
Cocos Islands618 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Dec 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Dec 2022 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Dec 2022 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 Dec 2022 06:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 19 Dec 2022 12:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Dec 2022 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 20 Dec 2022 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 Dec 2022 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 20 Dec 2022 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Dec 2022 18:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 21 Dec 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 21 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 21 Dec 2022 12:00 235 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Dec 2022 18:00 253 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 22 Dec 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 22 Dec 2022 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 22 Dec 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 22 Dec 2022 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 23 Dec 2022 00:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 23 Dec 2022 06:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 23 Dec 2022 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 23 Dec 2022 18:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 24 Dec 2022 00:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 24 Dec 2022 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 24 Dec 2022 12:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 24 Dec 2022 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 25 Dec 2022 00:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 25 Dec 2022 06:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 25 Dec 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 25 Dec 2022 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 26 Dec 2022 00:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 26 Dec 2022 06:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 26 Dec 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 26 Dec 2022 18:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 27 Dec 2022 00:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 27 Dec 2022 06:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 27 Dec 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 39 27 Dec 2022 18:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 40 28 Dec 2022 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 41 28 Dec 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 42 28 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 43 28 Dec 2022 18:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 29 Dec 2022 00:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 45 29 Dec 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 29 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 47 29 Dec 2022 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 48 30 Dec 2022 00:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 49 30 Dec 2022 06:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 50 30 Dec 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 51 30 Dec 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 52 31 Dec 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 53 31 Dec 2022 06:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 54 31 Dec 2022 12:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 55 31 Dec 2022 18:00 246 -
- - - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndonesia4,556 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia, Cocos Islands, Mauritius12,661
+
Indonesia73 
Cocos Islands581 
Mauritius12,006 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC